Every year at this
time, the Census Bureau announces the official poverty rate of
the United States. And every year, the same fruitless debate
takes place.
Some will point to
the successes and urge that we stay the course. Some will
point to the failures and call for more spending on
anti-poverty programs. Unfortunately, the analyses on both
sides are based on faulty data -- because our measures are
critically flawed and overstate the number of Americans in
poverty.
The official
poverty measure counts only monetary income. It considers
anti-poverty programs such as food stamps, housing assistance,
the Earned Income Tax Credit, Medicaid and school lunches,
among others, "in-kind benefits" -- and hence not income. So,
despite everything these programs do to relieve poverty, they
aren't counted as income when Washington measures the poverty
rate.
We're talking about big
bucks here. In 2002, the federal government spent $522 billion
on low-income assistance programs. But $418 billion of that
was not considered to be cash income and not included in
calculating any family's income. Did that $418 billion do
nothing to alleviate poverty?
It's time to scrap this
outdated definition of income. After all, government has
changed how it combats poverty: Direct-cash subsidies are out;
benefits that can be used only for essentials, such as food,
shelter and health care, are in. But because of how we measure
poverty, progress goes unreported, even if families are doing
better.
Since 1995, the National
Research Council has recommended that the Census Bureau
include programs that distribute in-kind benefits, such as
food stamps, that are the equivalent of cash, and include the
effect of taxes and tax refunds such as the
EITC.
And why not? Non-cash
assets such as houses and cars are routinely used to assess
economic worth. Taxpayers consider an IRS tax refund as
monetary income and income taxes as lost income. Yet the
Census Bureau ignores the effect of taxes and doesn't count
the EITC refund as income.
Studies that do
take into account all income and transfer payments to
low-income individuals have found a decline in the number of
people in poverty. A 2006 study in the Journal of Economic
Perspectives reported that if in-kind benefits are
included in income, poverty rates in 2003 would have declined
from 12.7 percent to 9.9 percent. By counting all income and
taxes, the poverty rate falls by more than 20
percent.
The bad accounting in the
current system can lead to bad public policy. The misleading
figures make it difficult for policymakers to accurately judge
anti-poverty programs.
For instance, the EITC,
one of the costliest anti-poverty programs, provides an income
subsidy to low-income workers to offset taxes and encourage
work. Yet the latest poverty figures discount its worth as an
anti-poverty program. In reality, the EITC has cut the child
poverty rate by 16 percent since 2003.
It's important to have an
accurate measure of progress in our war on poverty. Americans
want to help those in need, but they want to do it
intelligently. That's difficult to do when the data are
inaccurate. The current measure assumes direct-cash transfers
to be the only effective way to reduce the poverty rate.
Lawmakers rightly avoid direct-cash transfers because of the
lack of accountability. In-kind benefits, such as food stamps,
ensure the money is spent on needs, such as milk and food, and
not vices, such as alcohol and tobacco.
The Census Bureau needs to
update its measurement of income and poverty. At a minimum, it
should emphasize the poverty rate after all government
transfer programs and taxes are counted. This will allow
Americans to see how effective low-income assistance is in
reducing the poverty rate and what types of relief work
best.
Rea
Hederman is a senior policy analyst in the Center for Data
Analysis at The Heritage Foundation
(heritage.org).