| Myth vs Reality | Since the 1960s many governments of LDCs, especially of Latin America, restricted entry of foreign multinational firms, believing that foreign capital inflow will make LDCs dependent on America and Europe. Dependency Theory was developed in the late 1950s by Raul Prebisch, who was Director of the United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America. Dependency theory asserts that LDCs remain less developed because of their dependence on developed economies. They argue that profits or surpluses will be siphoned off by multinational corporations. Source country: Politicians claim that foreign direct investment outsources jobs from America to other countries. (without outsourcing the firm may not survive.) Reality: The following graphical analysis refutes this dependency theory. Both lenders and borrowers benefit from capital mobility. Imagine how much Iowa loses if we reject foreign investments or investments from other states. |
| Functional distribution of income | Let national income be a function of domestic capital and labor inputs, Y = F(K,L). Functional distribution of income views how income is earned, not by who earns income, whether income is earned by labor or capital. Labor income = wL (triangle) capital income = rK (rectangle) Zero Profit implies: Y = wL + rK. Total output = area of trapezoid, equal to the sum of the triangle (wL) and the rectangle (rK) in Figure 1. In Figure 1, the vertical axis measures value of marginal product of capital (p x MPK), which measures firms' demand for capital. The vertical line shows the economy's aggregate supply of capital. The intersection of these two lines determine the equilibrium interest rate in the economy. Figure 1. Distribution of Income |
| When K is immobile | ![]() |
| K is mobile | ![]() |
| Free Capital Mobilty | Country A: Labor income
= wL
|
Migrants send home three times more money than countries receive in development aid, says World Bank More than 200 million people live outside the country of their birth. |
| What happens to the North | Workers migrate from the South to the North. Effect: Wage falls. (Workers lose) |
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However, the North's national income increases because immigrants earn labor income. I = w(L +ΔL) + rK. Immigrants may depress domestic wage, but the overall effect on national income is positive (except for the case of immiserizing growth). |
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| South? | Wage rises. |
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Producer (employee) surplus |
the area below firm's demand curve
for labor, above the market wage. |
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Worker's surplus |
the area above the labor supply
schedule below the market wage. (Alfred Marshall) |
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| Gains from migration | Assume migration equalizes wage.
|
| Income | The Source country loses income (because the immigrants left). The Host country's income rises. If the immigrants have a lower income in the new country, their arrival lowers average income in the host country. (if the immigrants become nationals of the host country) Labor Income: The nationality of immigrants changes. Accordingly, their income stays in the host country, except remittances. Capital Income: Income of the capitalists are sent to the Source country. Nationality of the capitalists does not change. |
| Source country | Migrants do not pay taxes to the source country They do not receive public goods of the source country. Revenue loss generally exceeds the gains from reduced congestion of public services. income declines remittances increase ($307 billion in 2009) The source country had invested in the formation of human capital (public education). Thus, basically, outmigration is a brain drain. |
| Host Country | (i) Immigrants are a fiscal burden, causing an increase in the service of public goods (e.g., in public schools) (ii) They pay taxes (this is known to be greater than the increased fiscal expenditure) (iii) Immigrants tend to be young adults. Human capital was accumulated at foreign expense. (iv) The cost of providing public service for immigrants is lower than that for nationals (foreign governments paid some fraction of it already). (v) Illegal aliens: pay all the taxes, but not entitled to any benefits. |
| L vs K mobility | Foreign investment can increase national income. The source country loses labor income and hence GDP declines. |
| Noneconomic factors | war (e.g., Afgan refugees) political or religious persecution |
| Economic factors | Wage differential plays a major role. overall quality of life (environment) |
| Guest Workers | Temporary migration of unskilled workers Guest workers are an important phenomenon in many parts of the world. |
| Example | Migrant Latin American workers in US agriculture and light industry. Bosnians, Serbs, Turks, and North Africans in Europe South European and North African workers migrate to the labor-intensive industries of northern Europe. Legal arrangements European Community provides unrestricted factor mobility among members. Italian workers are free to take jobs in Germany, for example. |
| How does the Guest worker system work? | The host country government issues temporary permits to foreign workers to enter the country and take jobs. The host country can adjust the flow of migrant workers by controlling the number of permits. |
| Effect on the host countries | They help the host countries control production costs and inflation. The workers are generally unskilled. They are willing to accept low wages that native workers
would not want. Increased ability to deal with macroeconomic disturbances. use guest workers as buffer against economic fluctuations |
| Effect on the source countries | Migrant workers receive
better employment in the host countries. Migrant workers remit some of
their earnings to the source countries. In 1979 Pakistan's remittances
were 77% of the earnings from exports. (Labor migration becomes a substitute
for exports) Source countries face severe business fluctuations. In recession, the guest workers are sent back, aggravating unemployment. When they return, they bring alien tastes and habits. "unskilled guest workers" in host countries can be a brain drain to the source LDCs. |
| price instability and guest workers | Instability of the source country is generated by migrant workers. |
9. Potential or Perceived Problems of Immigrants