Black, F. "Pricing of Commodity Contracts." Journal
of Financial Economics 3(1976):167-79.
Black, Fischer, and Myron Scholes. "The Pricing of Options
and Corporate Liabilities." Journal of Political Economy,
pp. 637-653.
Marshall, John F. Futures and Option Contracting: Theory and Practice. Cincinnati:
South-Western Publishing Company, 1989.
PART I: Overview
1: Introduction
Overview
Market and Asset Classification
Organized Exchanges and Over-the-Counter Markets
A Quick Look at Futures and Option Contracts
The Origin and Evolution of Futures Trading
The Evolution of Option Trading
The Economic Importance of Derivative Instruments
Employment Opportunities in the Derivative Instrument Markets
Swap Markets
2: A Description of the Markets
Overview
The Cash, Futures, and Option Markets
The Futures Exchange
Price Quotations
Placing Orders
3: The Motivation and Behavior of Market Participants
Overview
Market Participants
Hedgers
Hedging and Quantity Risk
Hedging and Basis Risk
Speculators
Arbitragers and Spreaders
Speculation
PART II: Elements of Probability, Mathematics, Economics, and Finance
4: Elements of Probability and Mathematics
Overview
Important Tools of Mathematics
Elements of Probability
Statistical Analysis and its Applications
5: Economic Foundations
Overview
Utility Analysis
Demand Analysis
Production and Cost
Supply Analysis
Clearing the Markets
Elasticity
Substitutes and Complements
6: Elements of Finance
Overview
Time Value of Money
A Utility Approach to Understanding the Nature of Risk
Measuring Investment Performance--Return and Risk
The Rational Investor's Utility Function
Portfolio Analysis
The Capital Asset Pricing Model
PART III: Price Formation and Price Relationships in The Futures Markets
7: Risk Management with Futures: The Theory of Hedging
Overview
The Basis
Hedging and Basis Risk
Hedging Classification Schemes
The Hedger as a Utility Maximizer
The Hedger as a Net Supplier of Futures Contracts
Formulating the Optimal Hedge
The Composite Hedge
Practical Steps Toward the Optimal Hedge
Hedging and the Tools of Management Science
Incidental Benefits of Hedging
8: Speculative Pricing: The Theory of Speculation and Arbitrage
Overview
Speculative Demand and Supply
Spatial Price Relationships--The Law of One Price
Temporal Price Relationships
Explaining the Basis
Speculators as Net Demanders of Futures Contracts
The Equilibrium Futures Price
The Theory of Normal Backwardation
Testing the Theory of Normal Backwardation
Temporal Price Relationships for Nonstorable Commodities
Incidental Benefits of Speculation
9: Speculative Efficiency and the Returns to Futures Traders
Overview
The Efficient Markets Hypothesis
The Mechanism of Efficiency
Speculation and Efficient Markets
Testing Futures Market Efficiency
Testing Spatial Market Efficiency
The Speculator's Perspective
Returns to Futures Speculators
An Equilibrium Degree of Inefficiency
Speculation and Price Stability
Technical Analysis: A Cause for Concern?
PART IV: Hedging with Futures
10: Hedging the Traditional Commodities
Overview
Primary Producers
Examples using an Iowa grain producer
Crop insurance
Revenue insurance
11: Currency Futures
Overview
The Recent History of the International Monetary System
Exchange-Rate Risk
Foreign Exchange: Cash Markets and Futures Markets
Determinants of Foreign-Exchange Rates
Hedging Foreign-Exchange Exposure
12: Interest-Rate Futures
Overview
Debt Instruments Defined
The Determinants of Debt Instrument Yields
Interest-Rate Futures
Hedging Interest-Rate Risk
Hedging Interest-Rate Risk
PART V: Speculation in the Futures Markets
14: Technical Analysis
Overview
Speculation and Arbitrage
Technical Analysis
Chart Analysis
Computer-Guided Trend Analysis
Some Pitfalls of Technical Modeling
Technical Trading and Market Behavior
15: Fundamental Analysis
Overview
Fundamental Analysis
Leading Indicator Models
Single-Equation, Multivariate, Partial-Equilibrium Models
Simultaneous-Equation, General-Equilibrium Models
16: Managing a Trading Program
Overview
Thorough and Objective Analysis
An Acid Test of Trading Rule Profits
Measuring Risk and Return
Designing Optimal Trading Rules
Risk Within an Asset Diversification Context
The Probability of Ruin
Managing Trading Capital Efficiently
Reviewing Trading Performance Frequently
PART VI: Options
17: Option Valuation
Overview
The Language of Options
The Option Players
Option Valuation--Some Basics
Option Valuation--Elements of a Model
The Distribution of the Future Spot Price
Call Option Valuation--A Formal Model
The Put/Call Parity Theorem
Empirical Evidence
18: Risk Management with Options
Overview
Options as Insurance
Risk Versus Downside Risk
Hedging Quantity Risk: Options Versus Other Hedging Instruments
Risk Profiles and Financial Engineering
Other Uses of Options for Commercial Hedging
Corporate Financial Managers and Interest-Rate Futures and Options
19: Option Speculation and Arbitrage
Overview
Option Arbitrage
Speculation with Options
Simple Speculative Strategies with Options
20: Advanced Speculative Strategies with Options
Overview
Combinations
Spreads
Speculation and Fair Market Values
PART VII: Advanced Options
21: Some Fundamental Aspects of Options
Determinants of Option Value
The Relationship between Puts and Calls
Why Investors Use Options
The Relationship between Options and Forward and Futures Contracts
22. The Structure of the Market for Puts and Calls
Public Orders
The Options Clearing Corporation
How the Exchanges Work
The Performance of Options Markets
Institutional Participation in Options Markets
23. General Arbitrage Relationships
Arbitrage Restrictions on Call Values
Arbitrage Restrictions on Put Values
Further Results on the Relationship between Puts and Calls
Some Restrictions on Option Values as a Function of the Stock
Price
24. An Exact Option Pricing Formula
The Basic Idea
Riskless trading Strategies
Option Risk and Expected Return
The Black-Scholes Formula
How Changes in the Variables Affect Black-Scholes Option Values
25. How to Use the Black-Scholes Formula
How to Compute Black-Scholes Values
Some Modifications to Make the Model Work Better
Analysis of Covered Positions
Screening Neutral Positions
Portfolio Considerations
Empirical Evidence